Finance · 01/16/2025

In December, the core inflation in the U.S. showed a slight decline, but rising inflation expectations may prompt businesses and individuals to make purchases in advance. The dollar index has risen nearly 10% since late September, while the increasing divergence in global central bank policies may further influence the dollar's trajectory. The implementation of Trump 2.0 policies poses medium to long-term risks for inflation, making it essential to closely monitor these developments.

Finance · 05/02/2025

The former Treasury Secretary harshly criticized market expectations for interest rate cuts, arguing that bond market trends do not justify such actions and warning that accommodative policies could severely undermine market confidence in controlling inflation. Additionally, despite clear signs of economic weakness, he emphasized that cutting rates would be highly inappropriate while inflation remains effectively uncontrolled, urging a cautious approach to price pressures.

Finance · 02/13/2025

Gold prices have reached new highs due to rising inflation and market uncertainty, approaching the $3,000 mark. Changes in the U.S. CPI and interest rate expectations have affected the market, leading to an increase in gold demand and sustained central bank purchases, which support gold prices. Despite constraints from nominal interest rates, safe-haven and anti-inflation demands continue to inject momentum into the gold market, offering an optimistic outlook for future gold prices.

Finance · 08/06/2025

A Goldman Sachs report indicates that the market is experiencing a 'golden-haired girl' trend driven by dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, reduced geopolitical risks, and progress in trade negotiations. The economic growth is moderate with low inflation pressures, creating a favorable environment for the recovery of risk assets.

Finance · 07/18/2025

U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% in June, indicating resilience in consumer spending. The labor market remains robust with a decline in initial unemployment claims; ASML's earnings surpassed expectations, signaling growth. Despite easing inflation, uncertainties persist in real estate and trade policies, while the AI sector continues to hold long-term potential.

Finance · 12/14/2023

This article explores the recent surge in the yield of U.S. long-term government bonds, its causes, and global implications. The rise in long-term interest rates is a direct response of the market to changing expectations about the future economy, affecting global asset pricing, capital flows, and exchange rates. By analyzing the difference between nominal and real yields, we gain insight into market expectations for the economy and inflation. This trend may have profound effects on the international financial environment in the future.

Finance · 07/30/2024

Despite expectations that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates at its upcoming meeting, recent economic data and changes in the labor market provide strong justification for future rate cuts. This article analyzes the context of rising inflation rates and real interest rates, and explores how the Federal Reserve may adjust its policy statements to adapt to the new economic landscape.

Finance · 06/13/2025

US PPI data for May indicates that companies are absorbing some tariff costs, squeezing profit margins but benefiting consumers. A weakening labor market and moderating inflation have strengthened market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. This strategy of companies absorbing costs may not be sustainable in the long run. Future price trends and the direction of Fed policy warrant close attention.

Finance · 05/15/2025

Walmart's latest financial report is strong, with e-commerce business booming. Facing tariff pressures, Walmart is actively responding by lowering prices on essential goods and adjusting its supply chain. Consumers can leverage promotional activities and choose private-label products for smart spending and saving money. High-income families also frequent Walmart, indicating a shift in consumption patterns. Walmart will continue to monitor market changes to provide consumers with better products and services. The company's focus remains on value and affordability amidst economic challenges.

Finance · 07/10/2025

Economists warn that U.S. tariff policies are triggering a new round of price increases through a 'lag effect,' with consumers bearing the brunt. Despite current moderate inflation data, some commodity prices already show signs of rising. A broader 'price surge' and 'shrinkflation' may emerge in the future. Consumers are advised to plan ahead, consume rationally, pay attention to promotions, and consider investment and financial management to cope with the challenges.

Taxation · 10/23/2024

The IRS is set to adjust for 2025, raising tax rate thresholds by 2.8%. The standard deduction will increase to $30,000 for married couples and $15,000 for single filers, easing the tax burden on taxpayers.

Finance · 07/22/2025

This article delves into the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting and its expectations for a rate cut by June 2025. The FOMC is a crucial decision-making body of the Federal Reserve, responsible for setting monetary policy and influencing both domestic and international markets. Recent data indicates that amid a slowing economic growth and rising inflation, the Federal Reserve may implement two rate cuts. Furthermore, the release of the meeting schedule and economic forecast summary provides essential information support for investors, warranting close attention.

Finance · 06/23/2025

US PMI data for June exceeded expectations, but rising cost pressures are fueling inflation concerns, potentially leading the Federal Reserve to postpone interest rate cuts. Both manufacturing and services sectors expanded, however, input costs surged, forcing businesses to raise prices. Geopolitical risks are driving up oil prices, further limiting the Fed's room for easing. Markets now anticipate the Fed might delay rate cuts until the end of the year. The economic outlook remains uncertain due to persistent inflationary pressures and external shocks.

Taxation · 12/03/2018

This article interprets the various tax policies adjusted for inflation in 2019 and their impact on employee benefit plans, including adjustments to 401(k) plans, the design of HRAs, and updates related to estate taxes. It aims to help businesses understand regulatory changes to optimize their benefits management.

Finance · 07/22/2025

Within the Federal Reserve, there are differing opinions on interest rate policy, with many expecting two rate cuts this year. It is emphasized that waiting for inflation to drop to 2% before taking action could negatively impact the economy. Analysis shows that while businesses are under pressure, consumer spending remains relatively stable, providing room for adjustments in monetary policy.